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Dale has worked in the transport industry since 1979 at Caterpillar and GM, lived in Troy since 1988

A Guide to Ballot Proposals – Proposal 3

On November 6, Michigan voters will decide six ballot proposals, while Troy voters have an additional one. My first article gave general principles for evaluating proposals and more details on a Tax for Every Purpose (question 4), not be covered here. Here are the Five Questions again:

  1. Does it favor direct democracy rather than representative democracy?

America’s representative democracy is superior to the parliamentary systems used elsewhere in the world. Direct democracy has its purposes, but at its worst it can be mob rule. Ballot proposals like these can leave decisions in the hands of people who are too busy or not well enough informed to make wise decisions, assuming they have chosen honest leaders.

2. Does it enlarge the size and scope of government instead of making it more efficient?

3. Does it overturn decisions made by previous elections or my elected representatives?

4. Does it make a special dedicated tax or even worse, a new tax with a government board to oversee its spending?

5. Does it make a constitutional amendment for an issue that is best debated in the legislature?

If any of the above questions can be answered yes, you should probably vote no, assuming that you favor efficient, responsive, representative government. In particular, any change to the Constitution should be viewed with extreme caution.

Some suggestions:

Listen to TV and radio ads with a large grain of salt. Designed to appeal to emotions, they can leave you dazed as firefighters and school bus drivers plead both sides for Proposal 2.

Everything is about the kids. They are so biased they would be humorous if they didn’t involve serious issues regarding our country’s future.

Same goes for robo-calls if you can stand them. I usually hang up.

A more thoughtful approach starts with the unbiased information prepared by non-partisan staff of the state legislature and mailed to all voters by Bill Bullard, Oakland Country Clerk, and State Representative Marty Knollenberg. This summarizes the proposals and arguments for both sides. It is a useful starting point but highlights the power of incumbency since it’s mailed at our expense, not the office holder’s.

Non-Partisan is Sometimes Highly Partisan

 “Non-partisan” is often quite biased and partisan. Many of the endorsements in this guide were gathered from the “independent, non-partisan” Michigan League of Responsible Voters guide to ballot proposals.

Their biased wording on Proposal 3 says it “reduces our state’s dependence on foreign oil and out-of-state energy.” What’s wrong with buying electricity from Ohio, Indiana or Ontario or getting oil from Canadian oil sands, unless you want to discourage American refinery jobs in Louisiana and Texas?

The Keystone Pipeline would have created thousands of American jobs, yet was blocked by the Obama Administration at every turn, even after it was rerouted around the Ogallala Aquifer in Nebraska to ease environmental concerns. The job President Obama cares most about is his own, and the way he gets reelected is partly by raising money from environmentalist groups.

Ballot Proposals are not Bi-Partisan

Any ballot proposal is worded exactly as the special interest group favoring it wishes.  It bypasses the normal bipartisan discussion, much as Obamacare was rammed through Congress without any Republican input except for protests. No amendments for improvement are voted on.

A Proposal for a Future Amendment

It’s ironic that our constitution can be amended by a simple majority of the people. Perhaps conservatives should mount their own ballot proposal to change the process, requiring a two-thirds majority vote to amend the constitution. Recalls and overturning laws could remain a simple majority.

Follow the Money

Figure out who will gain from passing this proposal. Someone spent money to get it on the ballot. Do their interests line up with yours?

Check Endorsements

Find out what groups are supporting and opposing it before deciding. They spent more time studying it than the average voter.

Proposal 3 Content

This constitutional amendment would require utilities to generate at least 25% of their annual retail sales of electricity from wind, solar, biomass and hydropower by 2025. Safeguards limit annual consumer rate increases to 1% from this mandate and extensions will be allowed beyond 2025 if the 1% rate increase would be exceeded.

The legislature will also be required to pass laws to use Michigan made equipment and employ Michigan workers.

Applying answers to the Five Questions,

  1. Yes, it bypasses the state legislature with a direct ballot proposal.
  2. Yes, state government will be required to pass more laws. For each law, there are hundreds of pages of regulations, to be written and interpreted by bureaucrats (unelected officials).
  3. Probably, since this was never introduced in the legislature or would have been voted down. We already have a law requiring 10% renewables by 2015.
  4. Probably taxes will have to go up to support the government workers mentioned above.
  5. Yes

Vote No because of Yes answers to all five questions.

Proposal 3 Analysis

While well-intentioned, every form of energy generation has it pluses and minuses. Michigan doesn’t have enough elevation changes or volume of water flow in its beautiful rivers to make hydro power viable on a large scale. Where there are dams forming a lake or at the Soo locks, hydro generators could be installed.

Covering the state with solar panels would be expensive; solar electricity is still very costly per kWhr of electricity. Michigan doesn’t have enough sunny days to make this worthwhile; just ask anyone who installed solar panels for supplemental home heating during the last energy crisis in the 1970s.

Tilting at Windmills

That leaves biomass (emissions concerns just like any other fuel) and wind. We recently stayed at the Pheasant Country Inn bed and breakfast in Fowler, Indiana near Purdue University. They don’t have the Great Lakes water resources there, but do have lots of wind. The farmers get $5000-7000 per year for each windmill on their land. In return they provide access for maintenance crews. Overall cost per kW*hr varies depending on how much wind there is.

It’s a good deal for the farmer but spoils the view of the peaceful landscape. These giant windmills look like pterodactyls as they slowly turn. The Audubon Society got involved as the wind farms had to be located away of bird migration routes.

A Silver Lining

At least the mandate doesn’t extend to industrial customers, which would kill jobs. This constitutional amendment would only drive up electricity costs for individual customers, making it more expensive to live here.

Provincial Thinking

Requiring laws for Michigan-made equipment is a good thing in general but again drives up costs if the machinery could be purchased from Indiana or Ontario. This provincial thinking also caused some in Troy to criticize Mayor Daniels for caring about the rest of the state and our country’s debt by opposing wasteful federal spending like the Troy transit center.

Follow the Money

Certain green industries stand to gain, since power companies will be forced to buy their products. Environmental groups support it as their agenda of opposing carbon dioxide generation at all costs is advanced.

For sure the rest of us lose as we pay more for electricity.

Check out endorsements

Environmentalist groups like the Sierra Club, Clean Water Action, Michigan Environmental Council recommend a Yes vote, not surprisingly. Public sector unions and organized labor also support it.

The moderate conservation organization The Nature Conservancy has no opinion on it easily found on their website.

Mackinac Center for Public Policy, Governor Snyder, Americans for Prosperity, and No Troy Recall PAC all recommend a No vote.

Vote No!

I’m voting No for economic growth and low electricity prices for Michigan consumers; how about you?

Wiley Coyote

2:02 pm on Monday, October 29, 2012

Dale, you invalidate your analysis right off the bat with this:
"A more thoughtful approach starts with the unbiased information prepared by non-partisan staff of the state legislature and mailed to all voters by Bill Bullard, Oakland Country Clerk, and State Representative Marty Knollenberg."

Surely you are aware that both Bullard and Knollenberg are both Republicans, as is everyone on their respective staffs. What on earth makes their assessments non-partisan?

What makes you, someone who works in the "transport industry" qualified to analyze and recommend action on proposals of this kind?

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Wiley Coyote

3:34 pm on Monday, October 29, 2012

And regarding Janice Daniels "caring" about the federal debt by opposing the transit center...nice try slipping that one in. Why do you remain oblivious to the fact that her refusing that money WOULD DO NOTHING to reduce the debt, but instead, just send that pre-allocated otherwise untouchable money to another town which would then enjoy the benefits of $6-8 million in new construction, jobs, etc. in their community instead of Troy? She was willing to put her ideological interests ahead of the community she should be doing everything in her power to encourage investment in. That's the biggest reason she should be recalled, right there.

This is why people like me can't take people like you seriously and discount everything you say and write. If it doesn't fit your narrative, it doesn't exist as reality.

And for your information, the Keystone Pipeline would do nothing to put more oil into America's system--it routes the oil across the entire country to the Gulf coast, where it will then be placed into ocean-going tankers and sent off to China. Look it up.

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Dale Murrish

7:57 am on Tuesday, October 30, 2012

You obviously didn't read what I wrote: "the unbiased information prepared by non-partisan staff of the state legislature and mailed to all voters."

Yes, it was mailed by current office holders and I linked to their websites because I'm supporting their campaigns for County Clerk (Bullard) and Treasurer (Knollenberg). Pappageorge isn't up for reelection this time.

The information is the most neutral I've received. It explains the proposal and presents 3 arguments for and 3 against each proposal.

I assume those were provided by supporters and opponents of the proposals. They were prepared by the non-partisan staff of the state legislature.

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Dale Murrish

7:57 am on Tuesday, October 30, 2012

If the Keystone Pipeline is not approved, the Canadians may build their own pipeline and export it from B.C. to world markets (including ours) directly.

You may be right, that some of the oil will be exported from the Gulf Coast to world markets if there isn't enough refinery capacity, but most will be refined for American use. Maybe more refineries will be built.

I was using it as an example of environmentalism coming before American jobs (except the President's). Proposal 3 will definitely raise consumer electricity rates. I'll be voting against it.

Glenn

3:34 pm on Monday, October 29, 2012

Ha Ha Ha Ha Ha. The "non-partisan" information provided by Republicans Pappageorge, Bullard and Knollenberg. This is your best one yet Dale. Keep up the good work. Vote Yes on Proposal 3.

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Dale Murrish

7:57 am on Tuesday, October 30, 2012

Please see my comment above to Wiley and take a look at the information in the link before you decide.

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John David

7:57 am on Tuesday, October 30, 2012

Dale,

Regarding your question 1 and your own response to it, the is nothing wrong with proposals being initiated outside of the legislature. It doesn't equate to mob rule. The recall, initiative and referendum were reforms started in the late 19th and early 20th centuries and have been part of the fabric of American and Michigan politics for a long time. We have an educated electorate, capable of deciding if a particular proposal is in their best interests. Your question is based on your personal belief that we should only rely on elected representatives, but our political system has long provided for direct voting on issues.

Dale Murrish

6:24 pm on Tuesday, October 30, 2012

At its worst, direct democracy can be mob rule (some places in the Middle East come to mind, where religious minorities have fled the persecution). Not yet here in America, although we now have the Obama administration disrespecting the views of large religious minorities.

It’s one of the reasons I’m voting for the Romney-Ryan ticket next week. The main ones are the economy and foreign policy; others take the opposite view on those issues and will be voting differently.

The main reason ballot proposals like these are not good is that it concentrates power in the hands of those with large advertising budgets (like the Vote Yes on 6 people, funded by Mr. Maroun). Most people are busy with their lives and get overloaded by the advertising, and many are easily swayed by emotional arguments.

http://www.freep.com/article/20121026/NEWS06/121026078/Group-supporting-new-bridge-Canada-has-raised-800-000-spending-dwarfed-by-Maroun?odyssey=nav%7Chead

The article tells where the money is coming from for the current ballot proposals. The previous record was $19.7M spent by one side on a 2004 casino proposal. No need to guess which side!

30-1 ($31M to $800K) to preserve Mr. Maroun’s bridge monopoly is a bit lopsided. I’ll be voting no on Proposal 6 and hope others do the same.

I disagree with some of their reasoning, but the Detroit Free Press came to the same conclusion as me: Yes on 1, No on the rest:
http://www.freep.com/article/20121021/OPINION01/310210022

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Wiley Coyote

7:35 pm on Tuesday, October 30, 2012

Dale: Google "where will Keystone Pipeline oil go" and see what comes up on screen: Dozens of studies, reports and articles on how it will go elsewhere, not the US. Even Wikipedia, that font of whatever has this: An independent study conducted by the Cornell ILR Global Labor Institute reports that the crude oil routed to the Gulf Coast will end up being exported to Asia, and not contribute to energy independence or national security."

And while we're on the subject of controversy, how do you think the people on the east coast who are under nine feet of water feel about Mitt Romney's comments about getting rid of FEMA about now? The guy is a joke...you should support better.
Watch this: http://www.youtube.com/watch?v=1HvvtgaMJr0

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Ryan Wencel

3:34 pm on Monday, November 5, 2012

So wait...

In your writing you say there is a 1% increase cap for energy prices, yet you state over and over again that it is going to raise our energy prices, and stating it as a main reason to oppose it. I would gladly pay an extra $2 dollars a month if it means we're moving in the right direction even faster.

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